Table of Contents
ToggleMacro Overview
- US Final GDP Q/Q: The data came in line with expectations and the previous figure, making it neutral for the crypto market.
- US Core PCE Price Index M/M: Came in lower than expected, which is bullish for the crypto market.
- US Unemployment Claims: Came in lower than expected, slightly negative due to its inverse relationship with the crypto market. Despite the announcement, the market remained stable, showing resilience. Weekly unemployment data tends to have minimal impact on crypto.
Crypto Markets Overview
- Market Movement: This week, the crypto market experienced a 6.09% uptick, bringing the total market capitalisation to $2.159 trillion. Notably, BTC saw a rise of 5.32% and ETH saw a rise of 7.33%. Bitcoin’s dominance stands at 57.51%, while Ethereum’s holds at 14.23%.
- Kamala Harris Aims for US Blockchain Dominance: #Crypto has become a key issue in the upcoming US election, with Donald Trump pledging to be the “crypto president.” Kamala Harris responded by promising to push the US into a leading position in industries like blockchain and AI. In her economic speech in Pittsburgh, Harris highlighted the Web3 sector for the first time, gaining traction among the crypto community despite Trump’s pro-crypto stance.
- BNY Mellon Advances Towards Crypto ETF Custody Services: America’s oldest bank is nearing the launch of custodial services for exchange-traded fund clients, as reported by Bloomberg. A review by the SEC’s Office of the Chief Accountant confirmed that BNY Mellon can safeguard crypto assets for regulated ETFs without treating them as balance-sheet liabilities. This development positions the bank to offer enhanced services in the growing cryptocurrency market.
Top Tokens Update
- Solana Rises 3% Following PSG1 Sellout and Chainflip Partnership: Solana’s $SOL token surged by 3% after the Play Solana Gen-1 handheld gaming console sold out during its discounted pre-sale phase. This highly anticipated device has generated excitement among gamers and the SOL community. Although the discounted sale has ended, pre-order wave 1 for PSG1 will open soon, offering more opportunities for potential buyers. This positive news contributes to the optimism surrounding Solana’s ecosystem and its growing popularity.
- Bittensor’s TAO Leads AI Token Rally with 56% Gain: The recent rebound in the “Crypto x AI” narrative has been fueled by the release of OpenAI’s o1 model on September 13 and rumors surrounding its oversubscribed $6.5 billion funding round at a $150 billion valuation on September 20. TAO’s price has nearly doubled since the launch of ChatGPT o1, achieving a remarkable 56% gain. Additionally, other AI-related tokens like FET and RENDER have also seen significant increases, rising by 23% and 16%, respectively, during the same period.
- Ethena Plans to Launch New Stablecoin Backed by BlackRock’s Tokenized BUIDL Fund: Ethena is set to launch a new stablecoin named UStb, which will be backed by BlackRock’s tokenized U.S. Treasuries fund, BUIDL. Ethena’s current decentralized synthetic dollar, USDe, has achieved significant success, becoming the fifth-largest stablecoin with a circulating supply of $2.6 billion. Additionally, Ethena’s ENA token has surged by over 25% this week, highlighting growing interest in the project.
“Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”
DATE | TIME | EVENT | USUAL EFFECT |
Sep-30 | 10:30 PM | US Fed Chair Powell Speaks | More dovish than expected is good for crypto |
Oct-1 | 7:30 PM | US JOLTS Job Openings | Actual’ less than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto |
Oct-3 | 6:00 PM | US Unemployment Claims | Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto |
Oct-4 | 6:00 PM | US Unemployment Rate | Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto |
Oct-4 | 6:00 PM | US Non-Farm Employment Change | Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto |
Note: “Events in red font signify severe impact, while those in yellow indicate moderate.”
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
Summary:
- The current sentiment around BTC is Bullish.
- BTC continues to trend upward, having crossed the $66,000 mark this week. The positive narrative surrounding Bitcoin persists, and it’s expected to maintain this momentum in the upcoming week. BTC has officially formed a higher high, which is a significant bullish signal. In the coming months, we could potentially see a new all-time high (ATH). With the fourth quarter (OND) historically being the most bullish period, a similar trend is anticipated this cycle.
- Key support levels to consider are around $64900, $62600 and $60500. On the upside, resistance levels is at $68200 ,$70000 & $72000.
- It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
- For profit-taking, strategically selling near the outlined resistance levels/support levels is a recommended approach. Always exercise caution and implement sound risk management practices in trading endeavours.
Ethereum Technical Analysis
Summary:
- The current sentiment around ETH appears bullish.
- ETH continued its bullish momentum this week, outperforming BTC as the ETH/BTC pair found support and BTC dominance paused. ETH has reclaimed above the 50 EMA on the daily chart, indicating a bullish sign. For further bullish potential, ETH needs to break above the $2,800 resistance level. Overall, ETH looks bullish for the upcoming week.
- Significant support levels include $2550 and $2380, while resistance levels to watch are at $2800 and $3032.
- These levels play a crucial role in determining potential price movements. It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
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