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            State of the Crypto Market

            “VIP Exclusive: Dive into News, Macro Insights, and Crypto Analysis!”

            18 Oct 2024 | 6 min read

            Table of Contents

            Toggle
            • Macro Overview
            • Crypto Markets Overview
            • Top Tokens Update
            • “Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”
            • Bitcoin Technical Analysis
            • Ethereum Technical Analysis

            Macro Overview

            • EZ Monetary Policy Statement: On October 17, the ECB delivered its third rate cut this year, lowering the deposit rate to 3.25% as eurozone economic activity weakens. Inflation is under control, and recent data on business activity and inflation came in below expectations, prompting the cut. Markets anticipate three more rate reductions by March 2025. This move is positive for the crypto market as lower rates typically support risk-on assets.
            • US Unemployment Claims (Weekly): The latest US unemployment claims came in line with expectations, signaling a neutral effect on the crypto market.

            Crypto Markets Overview

            • Market Movement: This week, the crypto market experienced a 8.16% uptick, bringing the total market capitalisation to $2.278 trillion. Notably, BTC saw a rise of 9.98% and ETH saw a rise of 8.82%. Bitcoin’s dominance stands at 58.90%, while Ethereum’s holds at 13.89%.
            • Tesla’s Massive Bitcoin Move Sparks Fears of Sell-Off: Tesla’s recent transfer of 11,500 BTC, valued at $760 million, to unknown wallets has raised concerns about a potential sell-off. The crypto community is speculating whether this move signals an imminent liquidation or a strategic maneuver. The new, unlinked wallets suggest that the transaction may not be for an immediate sale, potentially hinting at an over-the-counter (OTC) deal. Despite the speculation, there has been no impact on Bitcoin’s price so far, leaving investors cautious but watchful.
            • Base Becomes Largest Ethereum Rollup by Total Value Locked, Surpassing Arbitrum: Base, Coinbase’s Layer 2 Ethereum network, has become the largest rollup by total value locked (TVL), reaching $2.49 billion across 366 protocols, surpassing Arbitrum’s $2.39 billion, according to DeFiLlama data. A significant portion of Base’s TVL comes from Aerodrome, a decentralized exchange with over $1.3 billion in deposits. Base now ranks among the top five blockchain networks by TVL, trailing major Layer 1 networks like Ethereum, Tron, Solana, and BNB Chain.
            • Grayscale Eyes 35 Altcoins for Future Investment Products: Grayscale is evaluating 35 altcoins for possible future investment products, including new additions like Optimism, SUI, and Helium. These assets are categorized into Currencies, Smart Contract Platforms, Financials, Consumer & Culture, and Utilities & Services. Grayscale, managing over $20 billion in digital assets, often guides investors with its selections. Notably, SUI, one of the listed tokens, has surged 300% since August.
            • Singapore’s Biggest Bank DBS Introduces ‘Token Services’ for Blockchain-Based Banking: DBS Bank, Singapore’s largest by assets, has launched “DBS Token Services” to offer blockchain-based banking options for institutional clients. These services integrate tokenization and smart contract capabilities with the bank’s existing systems, utilizing its Ethereum Virtual Machine-compatible blockchain. The new offerings include Treasury Tokens, Conditional Payments, and Programmable Rewards, aiming to enhance the bank’s payment infrastructures with programmability for governing fund use.

            Top Tokens Update

            • Canary Capital Seeks SEC Approval for Spot Litecoin ETF: Canary Capital has filed a registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for a spot Litecoin ETF, just days after doing the same for an XRP product. The proposed Canary Litecoin ETF aims to provide exposure to the price of Litecoin (LTC) held by the Trust, although no custodian or administrator has been named yet. Founded by Steven McClurg, Canary Capital is positioning itself in the growing crypto ETF space. Litecoin has shown notable price strength this week.
            • Sam Altman-Backed Worldcoin Rebrands to ‘World’ and Launches Mainnet Blockchain: The digital identity project backed by Sam Altman has rebranded to “World Network,” or simply “World.” Alongside this rebranding, the project has launched its mainnet blockchain, known as World Chain, a Layer 2 Ethereum-secured network. Several prominent platforms, including Optimism, Alchemy, Uniswap, Safe, Dune, and Etherscan, are supporting the launch.The project’s statement emphasizes that the name “Worldcoin” no longer aligns with its mission to accelerate human progress. With World Chain, World ID, and Worldcoin as its key pillars, the project aims to ensure humans remain central to AI advancement.

            “Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”

            DATE TIME EVENT USUAL EFFECT
            Oct-21 7:55 PM US SEC Chair Gensler Speaks –
            Oct-22 8:30 PM US SEC Chair Gensler Speaks –
            Oct-24 6:00 PM US Unemployment Claims Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto

            Note: “Events in red font signify severe impact, while those in yellow indicate moderate.”

            Bitcoin Technical Analysis

            Summary:

            • The current sentiment around BTC is Neutral.
            • BTC is currently at a resistance level following a strong upside rally. With key liquidations and resistance levels on the upside, the market may experience chop until these levels are cleared. For the upcoming week, the market outlook appears sideways. BTC needs to clear and hold above $68,000 for a continuation of the bullish momentum; otherwise, a pullback could be expected.
            • Key support levels to consider are around $64350 and $63000. On the upside, resistance levels is at $68200 & $70000.
              It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
            • For profit-taking, strategically selling near the outlined resistance levels/support levels is a recommended approach. Always exercise caution and implement sound risk management practices in trading endeavours.

            Ethereum Technical Analysis

            Summary:

            • The current sentiment around ETH appears Neutral to Bullish .
            • ETH followed the trajectory outlined in last week’s report and is now at a resistance level with choppy price action. For the upcoming week, ETH is expected to remain sideways or turn bullish if it breaks the current consolidation. Its performance will also depend on BTC’s movement. A potential pause in BTC dominance in the coming days could help ETH outperform.
            • Significant support levels include $2475 and $2190, while resistance levels to watch are at $2685 and $2780.
            • These levels play a crucial role in determining potential price movements. It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.

            Disclaimer: “The information, advise and/or views provided on this page are that of the author or company and are for informational purposes only. The Platform does not intend to: (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to invest in, or to buy or sell, any interests or shares, or to participate in any investment or trading strategy, or (ii) to provide accounting, legal, or tax advice, or investment recommendations, or (iii) make any representation of any kind, express or implied, on accuracy, availability, reliability or completeness of the same. Note Crypto products and NFTs are unregulated and can be highly risky. There may be no regulatory recourse for any loss from such transactions. AT NO TIME WILL THE PLATFORM BE LIABLE FOR YOUR USE OR RELIANCE OF THE SAID INFORMATION, ADVISE AND/OR VIEW WHICH IS SOLELY AT YOUR OWN RISK.”

             

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            Ritu Shah
            Ritu Shah

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