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            State of the Crypto Market

            “VIP Exclusive: Dive into News, Macro Insights, and Crypto Analysis!”

            13 Sep 2024 | 5 min read

            Table of Contents

            Toggle
            • Macro Overview
            • Crypto Markets Overview
            • Top Tokens Update
            • “Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”
            • Bitcoin Technical Analysis
            • Ethereum Technical Analysis

            Macro Overview

            • US CPI :The US CPI year-over-year remained neutral, while the month-over-month CPI increased from 0.2% to 0.3%, slightly above expectations. Despite the mildly negative data, the market remained stable, indicating resilience.
            • US PPI :The US Producer Price Index (PPI) month-over-month came in higher than expected, which is negative from a data perspective. However, the market showed resilience and remained stable despite some volatility following the data release.
            • ECB Press Conference: The European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates to 3.5% as the Eurozone economy faces challenges. This decision is seen as positive for the overall market.
            • US Unemployment Claims: The claims came in almost in line with expectations, presenting a neutral outlook for the crypto market.

            Crypto Markets Overview

            • Market Movement: This week, the crypto market experienced a 5.50% uptick, bringing the total market capitalisation to $1.999 trillion. Notably, BTC saw a rise of 5.11% and ETH saw a rise of 2.54%. Bitcoin’s dominance stands at 57.36%, while Ethereum’s holds at 14.20%.
            • India Once Again Leads in Global Crypto Adoption: India has emerged as the global leader in cryptocurrency adoption, according to a report tracking crypto usage trends across more than 150 countries. The data reveals that between June 2023 and July 2024, Indian users were highly active on both centralized and decentralized exchanges, reflecting the country’s growing interest in digital assets. This trend underscores India’s pivotal role in the global crypto market, as increasing numbers of individuals and businesses in the country turn to cryptocurrencies for trading, investing, and decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.
            • Kamala Harris Outperforms Trump in U.S. Presidential Debate, Crypto Market Reacts: In the first Trump-Harris debate, Kamala Harris outperformed Donald Trump, resulting in a 3% decrease in Trump’s chances and a corresponding increase for Harris. This shift in political momentum led to a slight decline in the cryptocurrency market following the debate. Notably, the debate did not address cryptocurrency topics.
            • MicroStrategy Acquires $1.11 Billion in Bitcoin: MicroStrategy has purchased an additional 18,300 Bitcoin for $1.11 billion, underscoring its continued bullish stance on cryptocurrency

            Top Tokens Update

            • Grayscale Trust Fund Sparks Ripple ETF Talk; XRP Price Up 5%: Grayscale has introduced the United States’ first Ripple Trust Fund, providing accredited investors with direct exposure to XRP, the token powering the XRP Ledger. This move offers new investment opportunities for those looking to tap into XRP’s market potential. Grayscale’s expanding presence in the crypto space has fueled speculation about a potential Ripple ETF. Following the announcement, Ripple’s price surged by 5.2%, hitting a multi-week high of $0.59, reflecting renewed investor interest.
            • Tokenized Real-World Assets Market Value Exceeds $12B: Binance Research reports that the market value of on-chain real-world assets (RWAs), excluding stablecoins, has surpassed $12 billion. This growth reflects increasing investor interest in blockchain-based tokenization of traditional assets like real estate, government bonds, and carbon credits. Tokenization enhances market liquidity, enables fractional ownership, and simplifies trading and settlement processes.
            • SUI Outperforms Crypto Market Post-Consensus Upgrade and Grayscale Trust Launch: SUI has surged 30% this week, driven by two main factors: the upgrade to the Mysticeti consensus protocol for faster transactions and the launch of Grayscale’s SUI Trust Fund, offering investors direct exposure to SUI. Additionally, SUI’s Total Value Locked (TVL) has risen over 9% to $720.97 million, outpacing other chains.

            “Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”

            DATE TIME EVENT USUAL EFFECT
            Sep-18 11:30 PM US Federal Funds Rate Actual’ less than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto
            Sep-19 12:00 AM US FOMC Press Conference More dovish than expected is good for crypto
            Sep-19 6:00 PM US Unemployment Claims Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto

            Note: “Events in red font signify severe impact, while those in yellow indicate moderate.”

            Bitcoin Technical Analysis

            Summary:

            • The current sentiment around BTC is Bullish.
            • This week, BTC dipped below $53K but quickly recovered, ending the week in positive territory. The price action looks bullish, with potential upward momentum towards $62K where high liquidity is concentrated. Despite neutral to mild macro data, BTC showed resilience. Next week’s Fed funds rate announcement will be crucial and could introduce more volatility.
            • Key support levels to consider are around $56000, $54500 and $52650. On the upside, resistance levels is at $59650 & $61600.
            • It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
            • For profit-taking, strategically selling near the outlined resistance levels/support levels is a recommended approach. Always exercise caution and implement sound risk management practices in trading endeavours.

            Ethereum Technical Analysis

            Summary:

            • The current sentiment around ETH appears bullish.
            • ETH has underperformed BTC this week with choppy price action. For the upcoming week, if ETH breaks above key resistance at $2,385 and the 20D EMA, a 5-10% upside move is possible. The outlook remains bullish, but will also depend on the overall market and the Fed’s funds rate decision.
            • Significant support levels include $2325 and $2190, while resistance levels to watch are at $2385, $2425 and $2550.
            • These levels play a crucial role in determining potential price movements. It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.

            Disclaimer: “The information, advise and/or views provided on this page are that of the author or company and are for informational purposes only. The Platform does not intend to: (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to invest in, or to buy or sell, any interests or shares, or to participate in any investment or trading strategy, or (ii) to provide accounting, legal, or tax advice, or investment recommendations, or (iii) make any representation of any kind, express or implied, on accuracy, availability, reliability or completeness of the same. Note Crypto products and NFTs are unregulated and can be highly risky. There may be no regulatory recourse for any loss from such transactions. AT NO TIME WILL THE PLATFORM BE LIABLE FOR YOUR USE OR RELIANCE OF THE SAID INFORMATION, ADVISE AND/OR VIEW WHICH IS SOLELY AT YOUR OWN RISK.”

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            Ritu Shah
            Ritu Shah

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