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            State of the Crypto Market

            “VIP Exclusive: Dive into News, Macro Insights, and Crypto Analysis!”

            8 Nov 2024 | 6 min read

            Table of Contents

            Toggle
            • Macro Overview
            • Crypto Markets Overview
            • Top Tokens Update
            • “Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”
            • Bitcoin Technical Analysis
            • Ethereum Technical Analysis

            Macro Overview

            • US Presidential Election: Donald Trump has won the 2024 U.S. election, becoming the 47th president. Trump’s pro-crypto stance is considered bullish for the market, contributing to the recent surge in BTC and the broader market. This sentiment is expected to support a continued uptrend from here.
            • US Federal Funds Rate: The FOMC cut rates from 5% to 4.75%, aligning with expectations. This rate cut is bullish for the crypto market, supporting positive sentiment.

            Crypto Markets Overview

            • Market Movement: This week, the crypto market experienced a 10.30% uptick, bringing the total market capitalisation to $2.533 trillion. Notably, BTC saw a rise of 9.08% and ETH saw a rise of 17.05%. Bitcoin’s dominance stands at 59.60%, while Ethereum’s holds at 14.02%.
            • BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Posts Record $1.1 Billion in Single-Day Net Inflows: BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF saw over $1.1 billion in net inflows on Thursday, setting a new single-day record. This, along with a total daily net inflow of $1.38 billion across 12 U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, signals strong bullish sentiment in the crypto market.
            • Ethereum ETFs Gain Traction as Michigan Pension Fund Invests $10M: Institutional interest in crypto continues to grow, with the State of Michigan Retirement System (SMRS) investing $10 million in Grayscale’s Ethereum ETF. As the first U.S. pension fund to invest in ETH, this move highlights Ethereum’s appeal as a diversification asset and could pave the way for similar investments, signalling a positive trend for the crypto market.
            • VanEck Launches Solana-Based PYTH ETN for European Investors: VanEck has introduced a Solana-based PYTH Exchange-Traded Note (ETN) aimed at broadening access to the Pyth Network’s real-time financial data on blockchain. This ETN enables traditional investors to track PYTH’s performance without directly holding digital assets, meeting Europe’s rising demand for blockchain solutions. Partnering with Bank Frick in Liechtenstein for secure cold storage, VanEck enhances asset protection, adding PYTH to its lineup of crypto-focused ETNs, which already includes Bitcoin and Ethereum options, providing secure entry into the crypto market.

            Top Tokens Update

            • Arkham Research Enters Crypto Market with Perpetual Trading Exchange: Arkham Research is set to launch its own exchange for perpetual swaps next week, marking its debut in direct crypto trading. Perps, or perpetual swaps, are a popular derivative with no expiration date, first introduced in crypto markets. The project is backed by strong fundamentals and prominent investors, with ARKM already surging over 25% in recent days in anticipation of the launch.
            • Chainlink Completes Pilot to Integrate Tokenised Assets with Swift Payment System: Chainlink (LINK), the top crypto oracle, has successfully completed a pilot with UBS and Swift to explore linking interbank payment systems with on-chain settlement tools. Conducted under Project Guardian, launched by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), this pilot aimed to test on-chain transfers via the Swift network, which facilitates payments and compliance communication across banks. Swift’s involvement could be crucial in expanding Chainlink’s blockchain solutions in traditional finance. With these advancements, LINK appears technically bottomed out and is expected to rally in the coming days.
            • Cardano Reclaims 10th Spot, Surpassing TON: Cardano (ADA) has regained its position in the top 10 by market cap, overtaking TON. Backed by new partnerships, technological upgrades, and stablecoin developments, ADA has surged over 30% this week and still shows bullish momentum. The popular smart contract platform recently launched node 10.1, a major step in preparation for the upcoming Chang 2 hard fork, which will bring substantial improvements to its governance, including a full transition to on-chain governance.

            “Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”

            DATE TIME EVENT USUAL EFFECT
            Nov-13 7:00 PM US CPI y/y Actual’ less than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto
            Nov-14 7:00 PM US PPI m/m Actual’ less than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto
            Nov-14 7:00 PM US Unemployment Claims Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto
            Nov-15 1:30 AM US Fed Chair Powell Speaks More dovish than expected is good for crypto

            Note: “Events in red font signify severe impact, while those in yellow indicate moderate.”

            Bitcoin Technical Analysis

            Summary:

            • The current sentiment around BTC is Bullish.
            • BTC has continued its upward momentum this week, fueled by Trump’s win in the US elections and the rate cuts, both of which are major bullish factors for the market. BTC has broken out of its 6-month consolidation phase and is expected to continue its uptrend with no significant correction in sight. For the upcoming week, the price may move within an upside consolidation pattern as it builds further strength.
            • Key support levels to consider are around $71,750, $67,500, and $64,400. On the upside, resistance levels is at $80,000, $85,000, and $95,000 to $100,000 (based on Extensions% and psychological levels)
            • It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
            • For profit-taking, strategically selling near the outlined resistance levels/support levels is a recommended approach. Always exercise caution and implement sound risk management practices in trading endeavours.

            Ethereum Technical Analysis

            Summary:

            • The current sentiment around ETH appears Bullish .
            • ETH has significantly outperformed BTC, gaining over 18%, nearly 2x BTC’s 10% gain. This bounce occurred right after the ETH/BTC pair found key trendline support after hitting a multi-year low. ETH has now broken out of its consolidation phase and is gaining strength. It may or may not give a retest/pullback to $2,700, which would be bullish if it occurs. If it doesn’t pull back, ETH is likely to continue its upward momentum from here. The outlook for the next few days remains bullish.
            • Significant support levels include $2800 and $2700, while resistance levels to watch are at $3144 and $3366.
            • These levels play a crucial role in determining potential price movements. It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.

            Disclaimer: “The information, advise and/or views provided on this page are that of the author or company and are for informational purposes only. The Platform does not intend to: (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to invest in, or to buy or sell, any interests or shares, or to participate in any investment or trading strategy, or (ii) to provide accounting, legal, or tax advice, or investment recommendations, or (iii) make any representation of any kind, express or implied, on accuracy, availability, reliability or completeness of the same. Note Crypto products and NFTs are unregulated and can be highly risky. There may be no regulatory recourse for any loss from such transactions. AT NO TIME WILL THE PLATFORM BE LIABLE FOR YOUR USE OR RELIANCE OF THE SAID INFORMATION, ADVISE AND/OR VIEW WHICH IS SOLELY AT YOUR OWN RISK.”

             

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            Ritu Shah
            Ritu Shah

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